IIIntelligence Engine
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run 20261013-064613-8d44a5 · as of 2026-10-13 · 546 companies · 29 themes · llm anthropic

Dashboard

Static snapshot: runs happen on the scheduled morning job
neutral

The AI trade's first genuine fundamental crack is a supply-side one: claims of a Chinese memory/chip breakthrough knocked Micron -5%, SK Hynix -9% and dragged the KOSPI down 5-6%, while separate reporting shows Nvidia's China AI shipments d… Read the brief

Not yet priced
Crowded
Nothing is crowded today.
  • SMCI Supermicroportfolioofficer changegap down
  • WBD Warner Bros. Discovery8-K highofficer change
  • SPG Simon Property Groupinsider cluster buy
  • DPZ Domino'sofficer changeresults filedearnings today
  • ORCL Oracleinsider buy
  • UNH UnitedHealth Groupresults filedearnings today
Growth
50+1.6 / 60d
Inflation
47+3.3 / 60d
Liquidity
43-9.1 / 60d
Rates
74+3.2 / 60d
Regime probabilitiesMost likely: Contraction
Goldilocks26.8%↓ 4.4 pts over 60 days
Reflation21.7%↑ 5.5 pts over 60 days
Stagflation23.0%↑ 5.0 pts over 60 days
Contraction28.4%↓ 6.2 pts over 60 days
51Stablerisk appetite +3
Risk score
51
AssetBaselineRecommended
Equities65%→64%
Treasuries12%→12%
Cash8%→8%
Gold5%→5%
Credit5%→5%
Commodities5%→5%
Beta target1.10→1.08
Positions
6
Equity weight
30.0%
Wtd gap
+12
Trades this run
0
Long-term thesis

One sentence holds the whole dataset together: at a ~5% risk-free rate with $365 trillion of global debt and Western populations set to shrink around 2029, capital stops paying for narrative and start… Read the thesis

Positions
11
Cash
30.9%
Top holdings
SPY 18.4%SMH 8.5%CIBR 7.9%XLK 7.5%SKYY 5.9%
Open the ETF book
Positions
5
Equity weight
31.6%
Wtd thesis score
69
Wtd probability
79%
Open the thesis-driven portfolio
Monthly income
$407
Blended yield
4.89%
Paid monthly
90%
Top holdings
SGOV 35.0%JAAA 15.0%JEPQ 12.0%USFR 10.0%
Open the income portfolio
SectorScoreTrend
TechnologyXLK+55▲accelerating
EnergyXLE+47▼decelerating
Health CareXLV+26→steady
Consumer StaplesXLP-28→steady
Communication ServicesXLC-47▼decelerating
Consumer DiscretionaryXLY-55→steady
UtilitiesXLU-56→steady
IndustrialsXLI-57→steady
FinancialsXLF-63▼decelerating
MaterialsXLB-65▼decelerating
Real EstateXLRE-73▼decelerating
  • · Technology flows accelerating
  • · Communication Services, Financials, Materials flows deteriorating
  • · Cybersecurity > Cloud Computing > Software
  • · Small-cap flows negative
  • · Long-duration Treasury flows decreasing
  • · Growth leading Value by 69 pts

Companies · top 15 by opportunity

#CompanyQualityGrowthValueThemeFlowTotalGap
1MUMicron Technology799980578078+34
2SNDKSandisk789972577074+36
3ADBEAdobe895292716373+28
4INCYIncyte817976—6473+27
5MPCMarathon Petroleum548964—8672+13
6NTAPNetApp846745678772+6
7NVDANVIDIA809454567671+20
8APPAppLovin868669624071+44
9EOGEOG Resources807872537471+20
10FICOFair Isaac Corp797377714070+37
11PSXPhillips 66468859—8569+8
12PRUPrudential Financial578091—4169+26
13WDAYWorkday, Inc.776365717769+15
14INTUIntuit765687715768+28
15FTNTFortinet917328698668-2

Biggest expectations gaps

Reality − Pricing · higher = more underappreciated
CompanyQualityGrowthValueThemeFlowTotalGap
APPAppLovin868669624071+44
LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.476689—1253+38
FICOFair Isaac Corp797377714070+37
SNDKSandisk789972577074+36
FISFidelity National Information Services598299431358+36
MUMicron Technology799980578078+34
TTDThe Trade Desk874097493962+34
CINFCincinnati Financial607597—3068+32
FSLRFirst Solar625994354755+32
MKCMcCormick & Company317682—2551+31